Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?


US plunges into recession as rest of world braces for similar fate

The US economy has officially plunged into recession in a sign of things to come for the rest of the world, figures published today revealed.

The American economy unexpectedly shrank 0.9 per cent in the three months to June, marking the second successive quarter the economy has contracted, meeting the common definition of a recession.

The fresh figures illustrate the scale of damage historic high inflation is wreaking on the world’s biggest economy.

Prices have climbed 9.1 per cent across the pond, the quickest acceleration since the early 1980s, stretching consumers and businesses.

America’s central bank, the US Federal Reserve, has responded sharply to soaring prices by hiking interest rates 225 basis points in just four months, among the quickest monetary policy tightening cycles since the 1980s.

Fed chair Jerome Powell said yesterday, in a press conference after the central bank lifted rates 75 basis points for the second month in a row, he does not think America is in a recession.

Higher rates have quashed consumer spending and reined in business investment, steering the US economy into reverse.

Americans’ responded to their spending power falling 0.5 per cent by reining in purchases, while monster rate rises sparked a 14 per cent drop in real estate investment as home builders curb spending amid falling housing demand.

Elevated borrowing costs “and surging inflation are weighing on underlying demand, and we expect only a muted rebound in economic growth over the second half of the year,” Andrew Hunter, senior US economist at Capital Economics, said.

The common definition of a recession is two successive quarters of falling gross domestic product. Last quarter, US output fell 1.6 per cent.

US statistics agencies analyse data over a wider time frame to determine if the economy is in recession.

Weakness in the US typically spills over to the rest of the world due to the country being stitched into the fabric of global trade and the dollar’s heavy influence on currency markets.

Analysts have warned the UK is on the brink of a recession, caused by households being crushed by a historic cost of living squeeze and businesses reining in production in response to higher interest rates and soaring costs.

Living costs are up 9.4 per cent, the quickest acceleration since 1982, prompting the Bank of England to raise borrowing costs five times in a row to 13-year high of 1.25 per cent.

Governor Andrew Bailey and the rest of the monetary policy committee could hike rates 50 basis points next Thursday, which would be the biggest move since the Bank was made independent 25 years.

The risk of Europe also falling into recession is extremely high. Inflation has raced to the highest rate since the creation of the euro in 1999, driven by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine propelling energy prices.

The bloc is heavily reliant on Russian gas supplies to generate output and heat homes, meaning a complete shut off of Russian supplies would deal a huge blow to its economy.

Gas flows through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, a key thoroughfare that funnels gas from Russia to Europe, have plunged to a fifth of their optimum capacity.

The IFO Institute this week said Germany, the area’s economic powerhouse, is on the edge of a recession.

European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde last week oversaw the eurozone’s first rate rise in over a decade by shocking markets with a 50 basis point move.

Read more:
US plunges into recession as rest of world braces for similar fate

You May Also Like


What price happiness? The answer might be £3,360 a year, as the average UK worker would take a 10.5% pay cut to work for...


After taking a breather in the week before this one, the Indian equity markets resumed their up move. The headline index continued with its...


Small businesses are bringing forward their finance applications in order to beat expected further interest rate rises, according to new research. Four-in-ten (44%) SME...


The bears have been in charge of the market for months now, going back to the beginning of January when the S&P topped out...

Dislaimer:, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Copyright © 2023 | All Rights Reserved